Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.154780 0.184501 0.217920 0.258211 0.305400 0.358845 0.423893
2025-04-27 0.120164 0.160997 0.212014 0.280126 0.368336 0.478338 0.625494
2025-05-04 0.097390 0.142454 0.203357 0.291018 0.413164 0.576410 0.810002
2025-05-11 0.078148 0.123140 0.188106 0.287674 0.435075 0.643584 0.958748
2025-05-18 0.062394 0.105114 0.170561 0.276611 0.442197 0.688340 1.078494
2025-05-25 0.050001 0.089609 0.153681 0.262921 0.441935 0.720193 1.180436
2025-06-01 0.043829 0.082978 0.149423 0.267884 0.470364 0.797525 1.358890
2025-06-08 0.036527 0.072988 0.137854 0.258641 0.473696 0.834376 1.475425
2025-06-15 0.032783 0.068759 0.135511 0.264714 0.503203 0.916526 1.674145
2025-06-22 0.029094 0.063957 0.131327 0.266661 0.525236 0.987581 1.860196
2025-06-29 0.025339 0.058345 0.124723 0.262999 0.536218 1.039747 2.017292
2025-07-06 0.022171 0.053391 0.118642 0.259398 0.546580 1.091293 2.177459
2025-07-13 0.020328 0.051187 0.118191 0.267789 0.582777 1.197283 2.454987
2025-07-20 0.019798 0.051926 0.124144 0.290489 0.650826 1.371793 2.882235
2025-07-27 0.018405 0.050350 0.124770 0.301759 0.696447 1.506733 3.245013
2025-08-03 0.016188 0.046301 0.119145 0.298301 0.710115 1.578505 3.487798
2025-08-10 0.013810 0.041354 0.110604 0.286854 0.704662 1.609896 3.650174
2025-08-17 0.011643 0.036513 0.101509 0.272689 0.691106 1.622331 3.773234
2025-08-24 0.010707 0.034934 0.100378 0.277824 0.722953 1.736322 4.125677
2025-08-31 0.009239 0.031489 0.093812 0.268260 0.718408 1.768712 4.301013
2025-09-07 0.008588 0.030389 0.093380 0.274544 0.753378 1.894116 4.696741
2025-09-14 0.007845 0.028840 0.091456 0.276559 0.777814 1.997274 5.050552
2025-09-21 0.006991 0.026745 0.087622 0.272770 0.786821 2.064611 5.326517